Overall efficiency of a hydrogen economy with 70% natural gas and 30% renewable electricity
There is no formal difference between the production of hydrogen from biomass or from natural gas. The main difference is that the primary energy at 3.5-4 ct/kWh is almost twice as expensive as from biomass. That may be partially compensated for by the fact that a natural gas gasification plant is cheaper than a biomass gasification plant. As there are no ash or tar problems with natural gas, natural gas gasifiers may be arbitrarily scaled.
It is worth noting that the quantity of natural gas needed (2.5 EJ) almost exactly matches Germanys natural gas consumption today. The quantity extracted nationally of 0.4 EJ is hardly significant. Therefore in a hydrogen economy Germany could aim for its entire energy demand to be solely from natural gas and renewable electricity. The import of coal and oil could be dropped. Three problems remain, which are not present if biomass is used instead of natural gas:
- CO2-Emissions are not reduced by 100% but only by 85%.
- Import dependency on natural gas continues
- Prices for fossil energy carriers will continue to rise (from the historical cross-border price, the price increase over the past 15 years has been 10% / year)
The marginally higher energy cost in comparison to biomass could be tolerated. The 2050 goal of the German government to reduce CO2 emissions for electricity by 80% would be easily surpassed with this fossil-based hydrogen. Furthermore this 85% reduction would be for the entire German economy - not only for electricity generation.
Technically and politically a mix of fossil and biomass fuels would be easier to realise. It would be sensible to start the hydrogen economy with natural gas as everything needed for the installation of a hydrogen economy is already technically mature, and can be bought off the shelf. Transport would also benefit from it, because there would then be a mass market for fuel cells.
Conclusion
A hydrogen economy is economically and ecologically very attractive for all sources and applications of energy. Sustainable, low energy prices can however only be achieved in the long term by using renewable energy.
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